Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 37 | 8-23 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 6-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. | 28 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 9-18 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 28 | 10-18 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 27 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart | 25 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter