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2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% - ✓
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 ✓ (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% - ✗
Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 55.4% 44.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +27 (127-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 34 7-16 2-7 2-2 8 10 0 0 18 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 10-19 0-2 5-7 15 5 1 4 25 - -
Austin Reaves * 30 6-12 2-6 1-1 3 2 2 0 15 - -
Rui Hachimura * 23 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Cam Reddish * 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 - -
D'Angelo Russell 28 5-13 1-6 5-8 3 4 1 0 16 - -
Dalton Knecht 19 2-7 1-4 2-3 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 2-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Gabe Vincent 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Max Christie 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Christian Koloko 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 34 10-17 3-7 3-4 2 10 1 1 26 - -
Tyus Jones * 33 4-8 0-2 0-0 1 6 5 0 8 - -
Kevin Durant * 29 9-17 3-6 2-2 6 2 0 0 23 - -
Bradley Beal * 27 10-15 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 23 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 27 5-11 1-4 1-1 12 3 1 1 12 - -
Royce O'Neale 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 9 1 1 0 9 - -
Grayson Allen 22 4-10 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Ryan Dunn 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Oso Ighodaro 13 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Mason Plumlee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 3 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Monté Morris 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter