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2024-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% -
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: LA Clippers +16 (104-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 42 10-20 1-7 8-10 7 7 1 0 29 - -
Keegan Murray * 40 4-11 2-5 0-0 9 4 1 1 10 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 40 9-17 2-5 4-4 15 4 1 1 24 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 6-19 0-5 4-8 6 2 1 1 16 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 - -
Trey Lyles 18 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Keon Ellis 16 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 3 1 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 36 5-18 2-10 10-10 6 9 3 1 22 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 30 6-13 0-4 5-5 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Ivica Zubac * 30 5-8 0-0 0-0 15 4 0 1 10 - -
Kris Dunn * 26 2-11 1-6 0-0 8 4 3 0 5 - -
Amir Coffey * 24 5-9 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 25 7-16 0-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 14 - -
Nicolas Batum 18 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Terance Mann 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba 16 2-6 1-5 1-1 8 2 1 1 6 - -
Jordan Miller 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -

* = starter