Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | β (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 23 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 26 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Watson * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 39 | 13-22 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 4-16 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 26 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter