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2024-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 ✓ (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (136-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 8-18 1-8 8-8 1 13 4 1 25 - -
Jalen Johnson * 36 10-19 2-5 3-4 13 5 0 2 25 - -
Dyson Daniels * 32 3-14 2-4 0-0 5 4 4 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 26 10-14 0-0 1-4 11 3 0 1 21 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 15 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
De'Andre Hunter 29 6-12 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović 26 6-11 4-8 0-0 1 4 1 0 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 3-9 0-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Kobe Bufkin 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Vít Krejčí 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrison Mathews 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 38 8-10 2-3 2-2 3 8 2 0 20 - -
Coby White * 37 6-16 3-12 5-6 6 9 2 0 20 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 8-10 1-3 1-1 6 8 0 2 18 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 11-18 4-8 0-0 3 4 0 0 26 - -
Nikola Vučević * 33 7-14 2-5 2-2 13 3 1 4 18 - -
Dalen Terry 22 2-4 2-2 6-6 1 4 2 0 12 - -
Matas Buzelis 19 3-8 1-4 2-2 4 0 1 2 9 - -
Jalen Smith 14 4-5 4-5 1-2 5 0 0 2 13 - -
Julian Phillips 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter