Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 33 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Enrique Freeman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tristen Newton | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 34 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 26 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 29 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 23 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stanley Umude | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter