Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.7% | 15.3% | -9.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +6 (110-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 11-20 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 13-26 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 25 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 10 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter