Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (32.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +41 (132-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston Jr. * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 24 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison III | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karlo Matković | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 29 | 10-16 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 23 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 20 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter