Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | β (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | β |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -12 (110-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 11-21 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 10-20 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 24 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ * | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 19 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 33 | 12-19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 27 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 7 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter