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2024-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% -
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 40 13-29 3-11 6-8 8 3 0 0 35 - -
Evan Mobley * 38 8-13 1-3 5-5 11 6 1 1 22 - -
Darius Garland * 31 3-21 0-6 2-2 2 7 1 1 8 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 5-6 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 0 10 - -
Sam Merrill * 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 6 - -
Georges Niang 29 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Ty Jerome 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 1 5 1 0 10 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 25 6-8 3-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 15 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 42 7-12 4-7 1-1 6 5 0 1 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 7-17 2-7 1-2 3 8 1 0 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 11-22 6-10 5-7 12 7 2 0 33 - -
Al Horford * 31 7-11 4-5 2-2 7 1 0 3 20 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 4-7 3-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Sam Hauser 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Neemias Queta 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -

* = starter