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2024-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (126-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 41 14-27 6-14 2-2 5 2 0 0 36 - -
Julius Randle * 41 8-20 2-7 8-8 4 5 1 0 26 - -
Rudy Gobert * 40 5-7 0-0 1-1 11 2 0 3 11 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 37 5-13 3-8 1-2 6 3 3 1 14 - -
Mike Conley * 36 4-12 4-9 2-3 4 7 5 0 14 - -
Naz Reid 23 7-12 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Rob Dillingham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Joe Ingles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 45 6-15 2-7 0-0 10 2 1 1 14 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 44 22-35 6-10 10-11 3 7 3 1 60 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 39 10-15 0-3 3-3 12 4 0 3 23 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 4 0 1 4 - -
Alex Len * 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 41 2-8 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 0 7 - -
Keon Ellis 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 3 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 16 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter