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2024-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% -
Points Off/Def 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (99-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 33 2-10 0-0 8-8 4 4 1 1 12 - -
Josh Okogie * 30 4-12 1-4 6-9 9 1 1 0 15 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 2-8 2-8 1-2 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkić * 29 0-7 0-3 4-8 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Dunn * 24 4-13 1-9 0-0 5 0 1 1 9 - -
Oso Ighodaro 27 1-2 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 1 6 - -
Royce O'Neale 22 4-10 2-6 1-2 7 3 1 0 11 - -
Monté Morris 19 2-7 1-3 4-4 3 1 0 1 9 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 5 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Bol Bol 5 2-4 1-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Bridges 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 32 11-25 2-7 4-4 6 4 0 1 28 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 5-11 2-7 3-3 9 2 0 1 15 - -
Jalen Williams * 30 6-16 0-4 2-2 8 3 2 2 14 - -
Cason Wallace * 26 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 2 5 - -
Isaiah Joe * 21 4-8 2-6 1-1 5 2 0 2 11 - -
Ajay Mitchell 22 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Ousmane Dieng 21 2-8 1-6 2-2 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Aaron Wiggins 19 2-5 1-1 3-4 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Kenrich Williams 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 3 2 - -
Dillon Jones 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Adam Flagler 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malevy Leons 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter