Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (115-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 14-26 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 40 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 32 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 12-25 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 33 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter