Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | β (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 41 | 13-27 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 7-17 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Dereck Lively II | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 14-27 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 28 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 20 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter