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2024-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.0% 78.0% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (116-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 40 12-21 1-5 3-5 3 7 6 0 28 - -
Jalen Johnson * 38 8-17 2-4 0-0 13 10 3 1 18 - -
Keaton Wallace * 31 3-13 1-6 0-0 2 8 0 0 7 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 24 4-13 0-4 0-2 9 0 3 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 16 8-11 0-0 2-4 9 1 2 0 18 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 30 7-11 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 27 7-10 5-6 0-0 2 2 1 1 19 - -
Garrison Mathews 23 0-3 0-3 2-2 1 5 1 0 2 - -
David Roddy 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 5-16 2-9 8-8 6 8 1 2 20 - -
Derrick White * 37 10-15 7-12 4-5 6 5 1 0 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 14-22 3-6 6-10 5 2 1 0 37 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 2-5 0-3 4-4 3 7 0 0 8 - -
Al Horford * 25 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 25 2-8 2-8 0-0 1 2 3 0 6 - -
Neemias Queta 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 - -
Sam Hauser 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Luke Kornet 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter