Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (119-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 11-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 21 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 23 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 7-20 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 40 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 37 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 7-13 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter