Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 11-28 | 3-14 | 7-8 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 36 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matisse Thybulle * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 10-21 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 32 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 31 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 30 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter