Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 10-13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 9-26 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 24 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter