Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +2 (138-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 40 | 10-20 | 6-12 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 24 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 28 | 10-21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Dario Saric | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 42 | 15-30 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 38 | 24 | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 39 | 12-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter