Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -24 (103-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 30 | 8-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 23 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 22 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 21 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| David Roddy * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 16 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter