Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 30 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 33 | 4-17 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 34 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 30 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 28 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
* = starter