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2023-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.4% 59.6% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +11 (125-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 39 7-17 3-11 3-3 9 2 1 0 20 - -
Saddiq Bey * 38 6-20 3-9 1-1 8 1 0 0 16 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 9-18 4-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 24 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 7-17 2-5 4-4 4 9 1 0 20 - -
Clint Capela * 29 6-12 0-0 3-4 16 2 0 1 15 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 3-7 0-2 1-2 8 2 0 2 7 - -
Patty Mills 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 - -
Trent Forrest 12 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 9 0-3 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Garrison Mathews 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 8-18 4-8 10-12 2 7 1 1 30 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 12-24 1-3 13-15 14 3 1 4 38 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 34 6-13 2-7 1-2 6 5 1 1 15 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 5-9 0-1 3-3 8 2 1 0 13 - -
Nicolas Batum * 28 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 23 4-9 1-4 2-4 3 1 2 1 11 - -
Patrick Beverley 18 2-6 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Paul Reed 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter