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2023-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 36 12-18 3-6 4-8 10 10 2 1 31 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 3-12 0-6 5-5 3 4 1 0 11 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 11-15 0-1 3-4 5 4 1 0 25 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 3-10 0-4 1-1 1 5 1 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 8 - -
Precious Achiuwa 21 7-10 3-4 0-0 10 1 0 0 17 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 20 0-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 17 3-7 0-4 2-2 0 4 2 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 13 4-9 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 39 7-15 2-5 5-5 2 13 0 0 21 - -
Miles Bridges * 38 8-15 3-6 3-3 8 3 2 0 22 - -
Brandon Miller * 35 7-15 4-7 2-2 5 3 0 2 20 - -
Gordon Hayward * 34 10-15 1-2 3-4 4 4 1 0 24 - -
Mark Williams * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 4 - -
Nick Richards 25 5-7 0-0 5-6 8 0 1 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington 24 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 11 - -
Ish Smith 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 - -
Bryce McGowens 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter