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2023-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 37 9-32 2-7 2-2 15 10 1 0 22 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 33 7-8 4-5 0-0 9 0 0 1 18 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 8 - -
Jamal Murray * 29 10-18 2-7 1-1 0 6 1 1 23 - -
Reggie Jackson 18 4-10 3-4 3-4 1 3 1 0 14 - -
Peyton Watson 16 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 1 2 - -
Christian Braun 15 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Julian Strawther 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre Jordan 10 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 38 8-20 5-9 4-4 8 1 0 1 25 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 37 8-16 1-3 0-0 4 5 1 1 17 - -
James Harden * 32 6-10 2-3 6-7 1 11 3 1 20 - -
Ivica Zubac * 26 4-7 0-0 2-6 9 0 2 1 10 - -
Terance Mann * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Norman Powell 31 5-12 1-3 6-6 5 2 1 0 17 - -
Daniel Theis 20 3-8 2-4 0-0 11 0 0 3 8 - -
Kobe Brown 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Russell Westbrook 15 4-8 0-2 1-2 8 1 0 2 9 - -

* = starter