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2023-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (110-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 41 10-18 4-9 2-4 6 5 0 0 26 19 -
Anfernee Simons * 37 10-27 6-13 2-2 1 4 0 0 28 6 -
Toumani Camara * 26 3-14 0-4 0-0 13 2 0 0 6 7 -
Duop Reath * 22 2-6 1-5 5-6 6 2 1 1 10 14 -
Malcolm Brogdon * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -
Matisse Thybulle 30 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 1 3 1 9 9 -
Scoot Henderson 25 4-9 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 9 7 -
Jabari Walker 21 5-8 0-2 2-2 5 1 1 1 12 12 -
Kris Murray 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 1 2 0 6 10 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 8-18 5-13 10-11 5 1 0 0 31 19 -
Draymond Green * 30 3-7 0-2 4-4 10 9 0 2 10 24 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 3-12 0-1 3-3 3 1 0 0 9 1 -
Klay Thompson * 27 3-13 1-8 4-4 5 1 0 0 11 4 -
Kevon Looney * 16 2-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 6 9 -
Moses Moody 26 5-10 1-4 1-1 4 0 1 1 12 8 -
Brandin Podziemski 21 1-3 1-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
Chris Paul 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 7 -
Dario Saric 19 4-7 2-3 3-4 6 0 0 0 13 12 -
Jonathan Kuminga 16 6-6 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 13 11 -

* = starter