Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (41.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +50 (147-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 30 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Taylor Hendricks | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Samanic | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 14-25 | 6-12 | 6-8 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 27 | 11-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 8 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter