Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +9 (110-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 39 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 5-11 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 26 | 8-13 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter