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2023-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -
Points Off/Def 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (102-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 19-31 4-8 7-7 6 8 1 2 49 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 10-20 2-6 2-3 4 0 0 3 24 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 25 1-3 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 1 2 - -
David Roddy * 21 1-3 1-2 1-2 6 1 2 0 4 - -
Derrick Rose * 15 2-7 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Santi Aldama 26 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 7 - -
Jaylen Nowell 25 6-8 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 12 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
John Konchar 21 3-4 2-2 1-2 7 2 2 1 9 - -
Xavier Tillman 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jacob Gilyard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ziaire Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 34 6-14 1-5 3-3 4 10 2 1 16 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 8-15 4-8 2-2 4 7 3 0 22 - -
Jalen Duren * 30 8-12 0-0 1-1 11 0 0 1 17 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 3-7 1-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Killian Hayes * 27 5-13 1-3 1-1 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Jaden Ivey 23 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 2 9 - -
Isaiah Livers 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Alec Burks 17 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Ausar Thompson 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
James Wiseman 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 4 - -
Marcus Sasser 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter