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2023-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 40 3-16 0-5 8-10 6 9 3 0 14 - -
Paolo Banchero * 37 16-26 1-5 9-12 6 1 0 2 42 - -
Goga Bitadze * 24 3-4 0-1 0-1 3 3 0 1 6 - -
Anthony Black * 14 5-5 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Suggs * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 1 0 - -
Gary Harris 31 1-7 0-4 6-6 3 3 1 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony 31 8-14 1-4 2-3 7 2 1 2 19 - -
Moritz Wagner 21 5-7 0-1 1-4 4 0 2 0 11 - -
Joe Ingles 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 39 10-18 1-4 5-5 3 9 0 0 26 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 37 12-24 5-10 6-9 7 6 1 0 35 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 8-12 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 16 - -
Max Strus * 31 5-10 4-8 3-4 5 6 1 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 0 8 - -
Isaac Okoro 28 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Georges Niang 27 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Dean Wade 13 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Tristan Thompson 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 - -

* = starter