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2023-12-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 40 10-20 3-6 7-9 8 6 1 0 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 7-14 3-5 0-0 2 7 2 2 17 - -
Herbert Jones * 34 8-13 3-5 4-4 5 5 0 2 23 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 7-11 0-0 4-4 11 0 0 0 18 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 5-8 0-2 0-0 6 6 3 0 10 - -
Trey Murphy III 29 6-13 3-8 1-2 2 1 0 1 16 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 3-4 2-3 1-2 3 2 2 2 9 - -
Naji Marshall 13 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Dyson Daniels 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 - -
Cody Zeller 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 10-25 1-7 9-13 5 4 1 0 30 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 8-12 0-1 10-10 13 10 2 1 26 - -
Harrison Barnes * 34 1-3 1-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Keegan Murray * 31 5-11 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 5-10 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Malik Monk 32 7-14 5-9 2-2 3 5 2 0 21 - -
Trey Lyles 16 1-4 0-3 3-4 1 6 0 0 5 - -
Keon Ellis 8 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter