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2023-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 41.7% 58.3% +1.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Log Adjusted 52.5% 47.5% -
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 39 6-14 4-8 5-5 2 2 2 1 21 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 12-17 4-7 3-4 7 4 0 1 31 - -
Devin Booker * 37 6-16 1-1 8-8 11 6 1 1 21 - -
Eric Gordon * 34 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 4 2 1 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 1-3 0-0 1-4 8 4 1 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 14 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Josh Okogie 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 12-25 2-4 5-6 8 11 5 0 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 38 10-26 0-0 7-8 15 1 0 2 27 - -
Cam Reddish * 29 0-4 0-2 4-4 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Taurean Prince * 26 2-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 3 0 5 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 24 3-11 2-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 8 - -
Austin Reaves 26 7-16 3-8 3-3 6 2 0 0 20 - -
Rui Hachimura 21 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 14 0-2 0-2 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 - -
Jaxson Hayes 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Max Christie 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter