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2023-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +10 (122-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 38 3-9 1-5 2-2 6 3 1 1 9 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 13-26 2-8 4-7 12 6 1 0 32 - -
Derrick White * 35 7-16 2-9 2-2 4 8 1 1 18 - -
Al Horford * 31 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 4 0 1 2 - -
Jaylen Brown * 31 14-23 2-7 0-1 9 0 1 2 30 - -
Sam Hauser 22 5-9 5-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 15 - -
Luke Kornet 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 4 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 40 10-18 5-11 1-1 10 13 1 0 26 - -
Bruce Brown * 35 3-10 1-3 6-7 8 4 3 0 13 - -
Myles Turner * 34 7-16 2-6 1-1 10 1 1 1 17 - -
Buddy Hield * 31 7-11 4-6 3-4 2 2 2 0 21 - -
Obi Toppin * 25 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 2 12 - -
Aaron Nesmith 30 6-10 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 1 14 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 27 5-14 4-7 2-2 5 2 0 0 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
Andrew Nembhard 4 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter