Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (38.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +39 (121-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Murray * | 43 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton * | 38 | 6-26 | 0-15 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Taze Moore | 30 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 24 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 25 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 21 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 7 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mason Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Slawson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter