Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +28 (123-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wiseman * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 31 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Boeheim | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Wesley * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 25 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 16 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| RaiQuan Gray | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 21 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 18 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - |
* = starter