Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (34.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +49 (135-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 19 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 29 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 23 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Fudge | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 15 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 18 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 17 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 15 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 15 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter