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2024-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 73.8% 26.2% -5.7 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -16 (108-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 37 6-13 5-10 2-2 1 4 1 1 19 - -
LeBron James * 37 11-20 0-2 6-6 11 17 5 1 28 - -
Rui Hachimura * 34 5-10 1-4 0-0 7 4 2 0 11 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 13-17 0-1 4-4 11 3 2 0 30 - -
Austin Reaves * 28 8-12 3-7 1-2 1 2 1 1 20 - -
Taurean Prince 20 3-6 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Gabe Vincent 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 13 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Max Christie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Skylar Mays 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colin Castleton 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Harry Giles III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 34 4-13 0-1 4-5 8 8 2 0 12 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 9-19 4-9 3-4 4 7 0 0 25 - -
Herbert Jones * 32 6-13 4-7 2-2 5 1 2 0 18 - -
Brandon Ingram * 23 6-9 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 31 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 2 2 1 11 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 30 5-8 1-2 2-2 6 4 1 0 13 - -
Jose Alvarado 20 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Dyson Daniels 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Cody Zeller 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 2 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter