Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (111-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 24 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 24 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson * | 44 | 17-36 | 4-13 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 44 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia * | 39 | 11-20 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Timmy Allen | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zavier Simpson | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter