Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (38.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +42 (157-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 13-19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 27 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 19 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 25 | 13-18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 21 | 13-17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter