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2024-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 (23.4 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% -
Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% -
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (110-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JT Thor * 41 8-11 3-6 1-2 9 4 2 3 20 - -
Bryce McGowens * 29 6-14 2-6 4-4 3 4 0 1 18 - -
Marques Bolden * 29 7-10 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 4 14 - -
Tre Mann * 24 4-11 3-6 0-0 4 6 1 0 11 - -
Vasilije Micic * 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 32 9-20 6-11 0-0 6 3 1 0 24 - -
Leaky Black 32 4-4 2-2 1-1 6 5 2 1 11 - -
Amari Bailey 21 4-10 1-2 2-2 5 5 2 0 11 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 19 3-7 1-3 1-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 30 5-12 4-6 0-0 10 11 0 0 14 - -
Isaac Okoro * 29 3-6 3-4 2-2 3 6 0 0 11 - -
Evan Mobley * 25 5-13 0-1 4-4 6 5 0 0 14 - -
Jarrett Allen * 22 7-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 14 - -
Craig Porter Jr. * 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 - -
Emoni Bates 29 3-12 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Georges Niang 22 6-9 4-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 16 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 18 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Mobley 16 5-9 1-3 0-1 3 0 1 0 11 - -
Pete Nance 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Damian Jones 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Tristan Thompson 11 3-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter