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2024-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.5% 48.5% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (107-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 41 7-12 2-4 5-5 4 6 0 0 21 19 -
Kevin Durant * 41 11-20 3-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 28 16 -
Grayson Allen * 38 6-12 4-8 3-3 3 4 0 0 19 14 -
Bradley Beal * 33 9-13 1-3 1-1 9 4 2 1 20 23 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 3-5 0-0 4-5 10 3 1 2 10 21 -
Royce O'Neale 24 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 5 -
Eric Gordon 17 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 3 1 1 2 2 -
Drew Eubanks 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 6 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 42 9-18 2-3 5-6 12 9 2 0 25 30 -
Keegan Murray * 42 9-19 5-12 0-0 7 0 3 0 23 14 -
Harrison Barnes * 41 3-10 1-4 5-5 6 3 1 1 12 13 -
De'Aaron Fox * 41 9-23 3-8 2-2 5 6 4 0 23 15 -
Keon Ellis * 32 7-11 2-6 1-1 3 1 2 0 17 12 -
Davion Mitchell 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 -2 -
Trey Lyles 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
Alex Len 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter