Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.4% | 27.6% | -5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 10-20 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 25 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 25 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Murray * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 33 | 10-23 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 38 | 9-26 | 2-10 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter