๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2024-04-13

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% - โœ—
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 โœ— (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 42 8-12 6-9 2-2 8 2 1 0 24 - -
Herbert Jones * 38 5-10 2-5 1-2 5 4 1 1 13 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 10-21 8-13 0-0 5 5 0 2 28 - -
Zion Williamson * 36 11-26 1-2 3-6 3 3 6 1 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 16 4-9 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Jose Alvarado 35 1-5 1-5 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Dyson Daniels 26 2-4 1-1 1-1 8 7 2 1 6 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 38 6-19 3-9 4-4 6 1 1 2 19 - -
Draymond Green * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 11 1 1 0 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 5-14 0-4 8-10 4 0 0 0 18 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 12-23 7-13 2-2 4 5 1 0 33 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 21 5-7 0-0 0-3 11 2 1 0 10 - -
Chris Paul 27 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 6 2 0 9 - -
Brandin Podziemski 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Moses Moody 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Kevon Looney 8 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter