Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (89-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wiseman * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser * | 32 | 9-20 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier | 29 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 26 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 15 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 29 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 28 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alex Fudge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter