Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✗ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +1 (121-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 29 | 14-26 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 37 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 12-27 | 5-12 | 5-7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 30 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 21 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sidy Cissoko | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter