Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (125-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 7-21 | 0-7 | 9-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 24 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter