Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +3 (109-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 25 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 7 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 36 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter