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2024-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -3 (120-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 42 11-22 1-6 13-17 14 5 1 2 36 - -
LeBron James * 40 13-20 3-7 8-11 9 5 2 0 37 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 2-9 0-5 0-0 3 10 1 1 4 - -
Rui Hachimura * 29 5-6 2-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Austin Reaves * 25 5-8 3-5 0-1 0 1 0 2 13 - -
Taurean Prince 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 19 0-1 0-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Gabe Vincent 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake LaRavia * 43 7-13 3-6 11-11 3 6 1 1 28 - -
GG Jackson * 40 12-23 7-13 0-2 1 1 3 0 31 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 37 7-23 4-9 5-6 17 3 4 0 23 - -
Trey Jemison * 35 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 30 12-22 3-7 1-2 5 6 4 0 28 - -
Timmy Allen 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Jack White 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Zavier Simpson 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter