Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +9 (129-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 38 | 13-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 12-27 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 26 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter