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2024-04-12

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -12 (123-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 44 7-14 6-12 7-8 5 4 0 0 27 - -
CJ McCollum * 39 11-18 9-12 0-0 4 7 2 0 31 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 33 5-8 0-0 3-5 10 3 1 0 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 30 13-21 0-1 5-5 4 6 3 1 31 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 2-7 1-4 0-0 5 6 0 0 5 - -
Dyson Daniels 25 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 10 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 5-8 4-6 0-0 6 6 0 0 14 - -
Cody Zeller 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 40 11-18 3-7 8-10 5 8 2 0 33 - -
Keegan Murray * 35 6-14 5-10 2-2 5 1 2 0 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 8-12 0-0 2-4 10 4 2 0 18 - -
Harrison Barnes * 32 9-15 2-6 2-2 5 4 1 0 22 - -
Keon Ellis * 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Davion Mitchell 27 5-8 2-2 1-2 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Trey Lyles 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Alex Len 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 10 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Chris Duarte 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kessler Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Slawson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter