Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 30 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Leonard Miller | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 16-20 | 2-2 | 7-12 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 27 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter